Now that Meacher has stepped aside, McDonnell has a clear run to get 45 nominations... or does he? As everyone should understand, the first 40 supporters are easier to get than the forty-first. And the forty-second is harder... and so on. It could all hinge on one or two MPs who didn't fancy McDonnell in the first place being persuaded, cajoled or even forced at the last minute.
So who/what would persuade them?
The power in the land is Brown - he could "lend" the votes, as McDonnell joked in the Fabian "hustings" on Sunday night.
But would he? My feeling is Brown doesn't want a contest. If so he'll not just be reluctant to "lend" votes but will be actively trying now to derail McDonnell's campaign for leader before it reaches the dangerous and unpredictable stage of actually becoming real.
Brown will want to appear hands-off, and claim it's just hard luck if there's no support.
:-|
We'll see, that's for sure.
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